Welcome to Week 15 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em.
This game-by-game article breaks down every player that is relevant for fantasy football. As always, please use our projections to make your start/sit decisions every week. The analysis in this piece provides color – and a lot of stats – behind the projections.
Unless stated otherwise, all of the data in this article is from Fantasy Points Data and specifically curated from the Data Suite. Our collection team has charted every play from every game over the last three seasons, and we will have fresh, weekly data imported into the tools on Monday after the games.
The Start’ Em, Sit ‘Em key
- Must Start — Don’t take them out of your lineup, even if there is a fire.
- Start ‘Em — The top-12 at QB and TE; top-20 plays at RB; top-25 at WR.
- FLEX Plays — All of the best RB2/WR3 plays.
- Stream ‘Em — The best one-week plays at QB and TE for streaming off of the waiver wire.
- Sit ‘Em — Don’t play them in your lineups. This could be due to a poor role, matchup, or performance.
- Stash ‘Em — Step 1: Hold them on your bench. Step 2: Profit.
Good luck this week!
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (TNF)
Must Start
Puka Nacua – In his six full games this season, Nacua has piled up 49/662/3 receiving (23.7 FPG). For reference, this would lead all receivers in fantasy points per game over Ja’Marr Chase (22.7 FPG) by a full point. If you’ve made it this far without Nacua tanking your team in Weeks 1-9, you’re enjoying the WR1-type production. Nacua left Week 1 early (knee), then missed Weeks 2-7 with the injury, and he was ejected in Week 9 for throwing a punch.
Jauan Jennings – Has 38/505/6 receiving (24.9 FPG) in five starts where he’s played at least 70% of the snaps with Purdy under center. Yeah, he’s pushing Nacua and Chase as the WR1. Jennings is absolutely dominating the majority of first-read targets with a whopping 38% share in these five starts. Most recently, Jennings (33%) and Kittle (29%) were the primary first-reads last week. The result of Aiyuk and CMC’s absence has concentrated targets around these two. Rams outside CB Cobie Durant (chest/ribs) is out. Jennings lost his mind for 11/175/3 vs. Rams back in Week 3 without Samuel or Kittle active.
Kyren Williams – Was back over 80% of the snaps last week. Williams has played at least 79% of the Rams snaps in 12-of-13 games. He’s just a TD machine. Williams has 29 total TDs across his 25 starts dating back to last year.
George Kittle – Leads all TEs in PPR FPG (16.7) by less than one point over Brock Bowers. He didn’t play in Week 3 vs. Rams, but this is an ideal matchup. Los Angeles is 74% zone-heavy. Kittle leads all TEs in yards per route run (3.07) when facing zone coverages this season.
Cooper Kupp – In the six full games that Nacua has played, Kupp has definitely been the secondary option. Nacua has 43% of the first-read targets, while Kupp is at 29%. It’s still more than enough to fuel one of the best midrange WR1 plays in fantasy football. Kupp has 20 fewer targets in six starts with Nacua, but still has 34/406/5 receiving (17.4 PPR FPG – WR7). This is a tough matchup. San Francisco is holding slot receivers to a league-low -3.3 schedule-adjusted FPG below average.
Start ‘Em
Brock Purdy – Back to full health after a midseason shoulder injury scare, Purdy roasted the Bears for 325 yards and 2 TDs on just 25 pass attempts. Dating back to last year, Purdy has finished as a top-15 scoring fantasy QB in weekly output in 75% of his games (24-of-32) as the 49ers starter. The Rams allow the second-most yards per pass attempt (8.0).
Isaac Guerendo – Nursing a foot injury. He did return to limited practice on Wednesday, which gives him a chance to suit up for this short week. It’s a bummer because Guerendo was terrific in his spot start before getting hurt vs. Bears. The rookie had 128 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs and then exited in the early fourth quarter. The Rams allow the eighth-most rushing yards per game (109.0). Unfortunately, stud LT Trent Williams (ankle) is set to miss another game. Guerendo would be a Must Start RB1 if he was 100% healthy entering this game. Patrick Taylor will mix in.
Stream ‘Em
Matthew Stafford – He didn’t have Kupp or Nacua back in Week 3 when these teams met. Stafford’s season has completely turned around since then. Since Puka Nacua returned in Week 8, Stafford is QB5 in yards per game (273.0), he owns a 16:3 TD-to-INT ratio, and he’s averaging 19.8 fantasy points per start (QB11) across his last six games. 49ers EDGE Nick Bosa (oblique) is questionable. Stafford has absolutely shredded zone coverages to the tune of a +11.9% completion rate over expectation with Nacua and Kupp since Week 8 (second-best in span). The 49ers have deployed zone coverage on at least 72% of their opponents’ dropbacks in three of their last 4 outings.
Sit ‘Em
Deebo Samuel – This is another week on the Sit list. This season is shaping up just like 2022 for Samuel. He’s dealt with multiple injuries this year (calf, wrist, oblique), and he was sick with pneumonia in Week 7. In his 11 games where he’s finished, Deebo has turned his 63 targets into 40/553/1 receiving while adding just 32/92/1 on the ground as a runner (9.6 FPG – WR49). He hasn’t gone over 40 scrimmage yards in four straight games.
Tutu Atwell
Demarcus Robinson – Questionable with a shoulder injury.
Ricky Pearsall
Colby Parkinson – TE Tyler Higbee (knee) isn’t ready to return yet. Davis Allen (shoulder) is also injured.
Stash ‘Em
Blake Corum
Patrick Taylor
Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants
The Ravens are -16 point favorites over the Giants. This is the widest spread of the 2024 season, and Baltimore is installed as the largest road favorite in a game since 2021.
Must Start
Lamar Jackson
Derrick Henry – As usual, King Henry is game-script-dependent in fantasy football. He’s averaging 23.5 PPR fantasy points and 132.1 rushing yards per game in the Ravens’ eight wins vs. 13.5 FPG and 70 rushing YPG in their five losses. This means that Henry is the fantasy RB1 over Barkley (22.8 FPG) in wins, but he dips to RB22 in output in losses (13.5 FPG). The Giants are allowing 147.7 yards per game (second-most) and a league-high 7.4% explosive run rate over the last eight weeks.
Start ‘Em
Malik Nabers – Playing through a hip injury. New York is going back to Tommy DeVito under center. Nabers was notoriously uninvolved in the first half of DeVito’s first start three weeks ago, which will certainly be remedied here. This is an awesome matchup for Nabers to get loose again. The talented rookie hasn’t finished better than WR23 in weekly scoring since Week 4. Baltimore is giving up 124.5 yards per game to opposing outside receivers (second-most).
Tyrone Tracy – The Giants offense was an absolute trainwreck with Drew Lock last Sunday, but Tracy was the lone bright spot with a strong 16/45/1 rushing and 5/38 receiving all-purpose game. With his recent fumble issues behind him, Tracy has ethered Devin Singletary again. The rookie Tracy outsnapped Singletary by a massive 84% to 18% margin vs. Saints, which tied a season-high mark for the rookie. The Ravens are a tough run defense – they allow just 3.4 YPC (second-fewest). Tracy’s passing down involvement is huge here. DeVito targeted Tracy four times (4/28 receiving) back in their only start together in Week 12 vs. Tampa.
Mark Andrews – After back-to-back games with 0 catches in Weeks 3-4, Andrews came to life with 37/425/7 receiving (13.5 PPR FPG – TE4) over his last nine outings. He’s making the most of extremely low volume (4.7 targets per game – TE15) thanks to a league-best connection with Lamar Jackson. 91% of his targets have been charted as catchable since he rejoined the offense in Week 5. Based on his volume, Andrews projects as a lower-end TE1 this week. The Giants were very tough against TEs up until last week, when they got rinsed for 7/100/1 receiving by Saints TEs.
FLEX Plays
Zay Flowers – Through 13 games, Flowers is the WR30 in FPG (13.4), tied with D.J. Moore. Over their last nine outings before the bye week, Flowers easily led the Ravens in first-read target share (29%) over Andrews (16%), Bateman (15%), and Likely (14%).
Sit ‘Em
Rashod Bateman – WR46 by FPG (10.2 PPR) in Weeks 1-12 before sustaining a minor knee injury in Week 13. Bateman is off of the injury report heading into this matchup.
Isaiah Likely – In their last eight games together, Andrews has 35 targets while Likely has 28. While he’s siphoning away looks from Andrews, he still doesn’t have enough volume to sustain a consistent role.
Darius Slayton
Wan’Dale Robinson
Tommy DeVito – Off of the injury report. HC Brian Daboll said that DeVito (shoulder) is expected to start on Sunday vs. the Ravens after missing the last two games. Drew Lock (heel) didn’t practice on Wednesday.
Justice Hill
Devin Singletary
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars
Start ‘Em
Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson – In their seven games together, Adams (9.1 per game) leads Wilson (8.7) by a slim margin in targets. Adams is averaging 14.8 PPR fantasy points per game (WR20), which is three-tenths ahead of Wilson (14.5 FPG – WR21). Both of these Jets wideouts are among the best WR2 plays on the slate up against this Jaguars secondary that’s giving up 123.2 yards per game to opposing outside receivers (third-most). Jacksonville has played man-to-man coverage on 36% or more of their opponents’ dropbacks in 10-of-13 games. Adams leads the Jets in target share (33%) over Wilson (24%) by a wider margin when facing man coverage.
Brian Thomas – In their last four games with Mac Jones under center, the Jaguars have largely condensed targets around Thomas (25% share) and Engram (23%). Thomas has come to life in his last three games specifically, with 5/82 receiving (vs. Lions), 4/76/1 (vs. Texans), and 8/86 (vs. Titans). Jets CB Sauce Gardner is having a down year for his standard, but he’s set to return after missing last week with a hamstring injury. New York has allowed the 10th-most schedule-adjusted FPG above average to WRs over the last eight weeks (+3.4). The Jets will likely go back to playing man coverage between 35% to 45% of the time this week now that Gardner is back.
Breece Hall – Nursing a knee injury. It’s the same leg that Hall needed surgery on back in 2022. He returned to full practice on Friday, and he’s pushing to play. I can’t understand why the Jets are allowing their star RB to play hurt… oh yeah, it’s the Jets. This all makes no sense when their rookie RBs were both really good last week – Braelon Allen had 81 scrimmage yards on 15 touches while Isaiah Davis was explosive (67 scrimmage yards and a TD on his 13 touches). If Hall is good to go, he’s an extremely boom-or-bust RB2. This matchup is amazing. The Jets are -3.5 point road favorites against a burnable Jaguars run defense. Jacksonville is getting smoked for 149.1 rushing yards per game (fourth-most) over the last eight weeks.
Stream ‘Em
Brenton Strange – In play as a desperation streaming option. Strange was decent in four starts in place of Evan Engram in Weeks 2-5 with 12/120/1 receiving (9.0 PPR FPG) on 15 targets. The Jaguars have since been cleaned out by injuries with Engram, Gabe Davis, and Christian Kirk injured.
Sit ‘Em
Isaiah Davis and Braelon Allen
Tank Bigsby and Travis Etienne – Good luck chasing this compartmentalized backfield. Bigsby was the clear lead RB last week, but Etienne doubled him up in routes and targets. The Jets are back to playing tough run defense. Over the last eight weeks, New York is allowing 3.84 YPC (third-fewest) and they’ve allowed a 2.8% explosive run rate (third-lowest).
Aaron Rodgers – SuperFlex only. Last week marked the first time that Rodgers threw for 300 or more yards since 2021, but he still only had one TD. His best weekly finish in fantasy this season is QB9.
Parker Washington – After a career-best 6/103/1 receiving vs. Houston two weeks ago, Washington fell back down to earth (2/15 receiving vs. Tennessee).
Allen Lazard – Was involved on 57% of the pass plays in his return last week, but he only earned one target (1/18 receiving).
Tyler Conklin
Mac Jones
Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints
Must Start
Jayden Daniels – Now that he’s clearly over a midseason ribs/chest injury, Daniels exploded for 30.4 and 28.6 FP in his last two starts before the bye. Both of those performances were the top scores of the week among fantasy quarterbacks. He accounted for 7 TDs (five passing, two rushing) while his rushing upside is all of the way back – Daniels has 16/108/2 on the ground in his last two outings.
Terry McLaurin – The Commanders will not have Noah Brown (kidney) for at least the next few weeks, which will condense Washington’s target share around McLaurin. It’s huge for his outlook. McLaurin earned 26% of the team’s targets in Weeks 1-5 before Brown became a full-time player from Week 6 on. Over their next eight games together, McLaurin (18% target share) was only marginally ahead of Brown (17%). The Saints allow the fourth-most yards per game to opposing outside wide receivers (122.8).
Start ‘Em
Brian Robinson – This will be the healthiest that Robinson has been all season long after he’s played through midseason knee/hamstring injuries. The Commanders will have a two-man backfield moving forward between Robinson and Jeremy McNichols. Washington destroyed Tennessee in their last game out, and all of Chris Rodriguez’s carries came in the second half in mop-up duty. Robinson and McNichols split the first-half carries of that game 11 to 6. Robinson is among the best RB2 plays on the slate up against this Saints run defense that’s allowing a league-high 5.0 YPC. Austin Ekeler will miss at least the next 3 games on I.R. (concussion).
Alvin Kamara – The Saints offense struggled mightily without Derek Carr in Weeks 6-8. New Orleans couldn’t maintain drives (5.3 plays per possession | fourth-fewest) and managed just 3 TDs on 39 possessions (7.7% TD per possession | second-lowest rate). Kamara’s role in Week 14 was good, but no longer win-your-league great. Kendre Miller finally got a chance to play, and now that Dennis Allen is gone, the second-year RB immediately made an impact. Miller finished with 10/32/1 rushing, and he took the Saints lone handoff inside-the-10 for a TD. Kamara still had 22 touches worth a solid 17.8 expected PPR points, but he was held to just 79 scoreless scrimmage yards. Derek Carr broke his left hand last Sunday, which puts the final nail in the coffin for this offense. We’ll see Jake Haener and/or Spencer Rattler at QB to close out the season. While he obviously still has some upside as a receiver, Kamara losing early-down carries and goal-line work is not a good sign for his fantasy football stock, especially on a Carr-less offense. New Orleans are +7 underdogs vs. Washington in Week 15, and they’ll be big road underdogs in Week 16 vs. Green Bay.
Zach Ertz – Over the last eight games, Ertz leads the Commanders in targets (19% share) by hair over McLaurin (18%). Ertz has 35/341/4 receiving (11.9 PPR FPG – TE7) in this span, and Noah Brown’s absence will only help condense the targets around him and McLaurin.
Sit ‘Em
Marquez Valdes-Scantling – No thank you with Haener under center.
Juwan Johnson
Chris Olave – After missing the last four games on I.R. with a concussion, Olave is eligible to return, but we may not see him until 2025. Olave suffered his second concussion this season, and fourth known head injury of his career. He’s droppable if your league doesn’t have I.R. slots.
Jake Haener – Stream the Commanders D/ST.
Stash ‘Em
Kendre Miller – One injury away from a decent role… but on a bad offense.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans
Must Start
Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins – In their eight games together, Chase has exploded for 56/861/11 receiving (26.3 PPR FPG – WR1). Chase’s only legitimate competition for WR1 is Puka Nacua (23.7 FPG in six full games) and Nico Collins (19.5 PPR FPG). Meanwhile, Higgins has piled up 45/581/5 receiving (16.6 PPR FPG – WR9).
Joe Burrow – In eight games with his top two wideouts, Burrow is putting up a league-winning 23.6 FPG. For reference, this makes Burrow the QB3 in fantasy, behind only Lamar Jackson (25.3) and Josh Allen (23.9). In games with Chase and Higgins, his 83% catchable throw rate leads all QBs. The Bengals are the most pass-heavy team (+10.3% above expected) in a landslide over the Chiefs (+6.4%).
Chase Brown – Since the Bengals lost Zack Moss (neck) for the season, Brown has put up an unreal 22.5 PPR FPG as the bell cow. In fact, the only RB with more PPR points per game since Week 9 is Saquon Barkley (26.1). The Titans are struggling a bit against zone-blocking concepts, which is what the Bengals predominantly run. Over the last eight weeks, Tennessee has allowed 4.6 YPC (10th-most) on zone-blocking runs.
Start ‘Em
Tony Pollard
Calvin Ridley – Over the last five weeks with Levis back under center, Ridley leads the Titans in targets (39) for 23/339/2 receiving (13.8 FPG – WR26). This is an ideal matchup for Ridley as an upside WR2. The Bengals are giving up +4.0 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to opposing wide receivers (fifth-most).
Sit ‘Em
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Mike Gesicki – Has just 16 receptions for 148 scoreless yards (3.9 FPG) in seven games with Tee Higgins.
Will Levis – SuperFlex only. Over his last five starts since returning from a midseason shoulder injury, Levis has finished as fantasy’s QB9, QB20, QB10, QB21, and QB26 in weekly scoring.
Chig Okonkwo
Stash ‘Em
Tyjae Spears
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans
Must Start
Joe Mixon – In the nine games that he’s started and finished, Mixon is averaging 21.8 carries and 95.8 rushing yards per start. He’s piled up 12 TDs. And, he’s consistently involved as a receiver. Mixon has at least 2 receptions in 8-of-9 games. Add it all up… and he’s the RB2 in fantasy football (22.7 PPR FPG), just one-tenth of a FP behind Saquon Barkley (22.8 FPG).
De’Von Achane – Even if he’s held in check again on the ground, it won’t matter. Achane is essentially a WR2 in PPR leagues. In eight games with Tua starting, Achane has tallied up 47/356/5 receiving (14.1 PPR FPG ~WR23). Veteran RB Raheem Mostert (hip) is questionable. Achane’s 83% snap rate in Week 14 marked a career-high.
Nico Collins – In his last 15 games with C.J. Stroud dating back to last season, Collins has racked up 101 receptions for 1,631 yards and 8 TDs on 138 targets. That’s 20.8 PPR points per game.
Tyreek Hill – In his eight full games with Tua under center, Hill has turned his team-high 65 targets into 48/605/5 receiving (17.5 PPR FPG – WR7). Houston is burnable in the secondary, allowing +4.0 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to wide receivers. That’s tied with Cincinnati for fourth-most.
Start ‘Em
Jonnu Smith – Has finished as a top-8 scoring TE in four straight games. The only reason that Smith is not Must Start again is due to the matchup. Houston is really good against tight ends, holding them to just 37 yards per game (second-fewest).
Tua Tagovailoa – Miami has ditched their dormant run game. Over their last five games, the Dolphins have the third-most pass-heavy offense by pass rate over expectation (+10.6%). This trails only the Bengals (+15% PROE) and Chiefs (+11%) in this span. Tua has been hyper-efficient with a 75% completion rate, 301.6 yards per game (7.7 YPA), and a 12:1 TD-to-INT ratio in his last five starts. It has resulted in 22.2 FPG (~QB5) in this span, and four straight scoring weeks inside of the top-10. Once again, Tagovailoa projects like a lower-end QB1, largely thanks to volume. The only QBs averaging more pass attempts per game than Tagovailoa (36.1) are Burrow (37.7) and Winston (43.2). Houston allows the ninth-most passing FPG (15.6).
FLEX Plays
Jaylen Waddle – The added passing volume has recently helped Waddle surge as a WR3/FLEX. Despite seeing 18 fewer targets, Waddle’s yardage production (67.5 yards per game – WR19) is really not too far off from Hill (75.6 YPG – WR7) in his eight starts with Tua.
Sit ‘Em
C.J. Stroud – It has been a second season to forget for Stroud. The Texans will cruise to the AFC South title, but their quarterback has noticeably regressed. Stroud’s TD% (3.5), YPA (7.2), and sack rate (8.7%) have all fallen off compared to his rookie season (4.6% TD | 8.2 YPA | 7.1% sack). The Texans’ offensive line isn’t very good, but Stroud is also not doing his protection many favors by holding the ball for 2.74 seconds per throw (sixth-slowest). He’s been completely unusable for the entire middle of this year for fantasy. Stroud hasn’t finished as a top-10 scoring QB in weekly output since Week 5, and he just flopped again as the QB23 (14.4 FP) in a layup matchup against the Jaguars before the bye. Stroud is just missing throws. Our charting team has Stroud with a 71.6% catchable throw rate – that’s 35th among 42 qualified QBs.
Tank Dell – With his QB playing so poorly overall, Dell was held in check to just one catch for 23 yards vs. Jacksonville in Week 13. It was a pristine matchup, but this offense runs through Nico Collins. Stroud’s continued poor play has left Dell as a WR4 in fantasy football. He’s WR59 by FPG (9.3). Dell has just two scoring weeks where he’s finished among the top-24 at the position.
Dalton Schultz – In their last three games before the bye, Collins (34%) led the Texans in first-read targets in a landslide, followed by Schultz (18%) and Dell (16%).
John Metchie
Stash ‘Em
Jaylen Wright
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns
Must Start
Jerry Jeudy – Since the Browns made Winston the starter in Week 8, Jeudy (9.0) is WR8 in targets per game. The volume is insanely good. The results are even better. Jeudy has exploded as a legitimate WR1 in fantasy, turning his volume into 38/678/3 receiving (21.0 PPR FPG – WR2). Jeudy has finished as a top-24 fantasy scorer among WRs in five straight games.
Travis Kelce
Start ‘Em
Isiah Pacheco – As expected, the Chiefs ramped up Pacheco last week. He led the Chiefs in carries (14/55 rushing) over Kareem Hunt (5/16), and led the backfield in targets (4). We should see Pacheco back up to 60-65% of the snaps here.
DeAndre Hopkins – Since joining the Chiefs and becoming a starter in Week 9, Hopkins is WR23 by FPG (14.1) with 28/328/4 receiving. Nuk was involved on 64% of the pass plays in each of his last two games, marking a season-high. Hopkins is averaging 2.73 yards per route run vs. one-high safety coverages with Mahomes, but his efficiency falls off of a cliff against 2-hi shell coverages (1.12 YPRR). Why is that important this week? Cleveland plays the second-most one-high safety coverage (64%).
Patrick Mahomes – Over the last eight weeks, Mahomes is QB11 in FPG (19.0). It’s largely been fueled by volume and not efficiency. Since Week 7, Mahomes (38.0) trails only Burrow (41.2) and Winston (43.2) in pass attempts per game. Myles Garrett is a game wrecker for the Chiefs’ turnstyle at tackle to deal with, but nothing about the Browns’ secondary is scary. Cleveland allows the fourth-most passing yards per attempt (7.9).
Jameis Winston – It’s a total scam at times, but Winston has finished as a top-12 scoring fantasy QB in 4-of-6 starts. Just like with Mahomes, the volume is amazing. Since Week 8, Winston (43.2 attempts, 315.3 yards) is second only to Burrow in pass attempts (44) and yards (324.5) on a per-game basis. The Chiefs are a middle-of-pack matchup for opposing quarterbacks by schedule-adjusted FPG (13th) allowed. The Browns’ passing volume will be amazing again this week because Kansas City is so tough to run on.
FLEX Plays
Elijah Moore – This is an amazing matchup for Moore. Over the last eight weeks, the Chiefs are allowing a league-high +5.6 schedule adjusted FPG above average to slot receivers. In six starts with Winston under center, Moore has 31/345/1 receiving (11.9 PPR FPG – WR40). Moore should be more involved with David Njoku (hamstring) likely out.
Sit ‘Em
Cedric Tillman – Will miss his third straight game with a concussion.
David Njoku – Likely out (hamstring). Since Week 8, Njoku (7.5) trails only Kelce (8.1) in catchable targets per game among tight ends. Njoku only averaged 3.7 catchable looks per game (TE16) with Watson. Lol. No defense allows more yards (78.1) or receptions (6.6) per game to tight ends than the Chiefs.
Xavier Worthy
Nick Chubb and Jerome Ford – The Chiefs are holding opposing RBs to a league-low 58.5 rushing yards per game. Chubb (20/69 rushing) and Ford (19/69) have split carries down the middle over the last two weeks. Ford (53% route participation) is far more involved in the pass game over Chubb (20%).
Kareem Hunt
Noah Gray
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers
By Sunday, the Panthers will be favored to win a game for the first time in 728 days. They’re -3 over Dallas. The last time they were favorites was Week 15, 2022.
Must Start
Chuba Hubbard – With rookie Jonathon Brooks (ACL) out for the rest of the season, Hubbard’s volume is especially locked in. He played on a season-high 97% of the snaps last week, tallying up 107 scrimmage yards and a TD vs. Philadelphia. This is a significantly easier matchup as 3-point home favorites against Dallas.
Start ‘Em
Rico Dowdle – His snaps have increased (47% > 64% > 71% > 76%) in four straight games. Dowdle just keeps earning more reps after he’s shredded the Commanders, Bengals, and Giants for 362 scrimmage yards in his last three games. This is yet another amazing matchup. The Panthers allow a league-high 138.6 rushing yards per game. Dowdle is among the best RB2 options on the slate.
CeeDee Lamb – Playing through a shoulder injury. Over the last five weeks with Cooper Rush under center, Lamb has turned his 44 targets into 32/313/1 receiving. His 14.2 PPR FPG ranks WR22. Lamb’s average depth of target is just 6.3 yards downfield (103rd-of-113 WR), and he’s seen just two targets of 20+ air yards with Rush under center. Only one of those looks was catchable, and it led to a 29-yard gain.
Adam Thielen – Over the last three weeks, Thielen leads the Panthers in targets (25) for a stellar 20/258/1 receiving result. The 34-year-old Thielen is out here zipping in and out of his breaks, and averaging a strong 2.53 yards per route run since returning from a midseason hamstring injury. Thielen’s target share has exploded (11% > 22% > 32%) in each of his last three games. Bryce Young and Thielen’s chemistry looks great as 84% of their targets have been charted as catchable since Week 12.
Jake Ferguson – In his first game back from a concussion that cost him Weeks 12-13, Ferguson immediately ran more routes (26) than Luke Schoonmaker (8). Ferguson has been a disappointment all fantasy season, but his volume is always solid, and this is an ideal matchup. Ferguson is averaging 7.3 targets per game and a 75% route participation in his starts, both of which rank TE5. We just need endzone looks. Ferguson still doesn’t have an endzone target after ranking second among TEs with 9 EZ targets in 2023. Carolina is allowing a league-high +4.0 schedule-adjusted FPG above average to tight ends.
Sit ‘Em
Xavier Legette, David Moore, and Jalen Coker
Bryce Young
Cooper Rush
Brandin Cooks and Jalen Tolbert
Ja’Tavion Sanders
New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals (4:25p ET)
Must Start
Trey McBride – Even though he still hasn’t scored a receiving TD yet this season, McBride is TE3 by FPG (14.3). It’s a bummer that his quarterback hasn’t played better. With a few more touchdowns, McBride could push Bowers and Kittle as the TE1. He has earned at least 26% of the targets in three straight games since the bye week, piling up 31 receptions for 299 yards (41 targets) in the process.
James Conner – Was back to bell-cow status last week with 18 of the 20 RB carries. Conner is always among the best RB2 plays in fantasy every week – he’s the RB17 in FPG (15.0) – but he gets a bump to Must Start status with the Cardinals installed as TD home-favorites over New England.
Start ‘Em
Kyler Murray – After two straight weeks on the sit list in tougher matchups, Murray gets to close out his season with 3 gorgeous dates vs. New England, Carolina, and the LA Rams. He’s been extremely up and down this year. Murray has notched top-5 scoring weeks among fantasy QB four times, but he’s also finished outside of the top-16 scorers entirely in 5 appearances. We’re chasing the ceiling here. New England is allowing the fifth-most passing FP per dropback (0.45).
FLEX Plays
Rhamondre Stevenson – The definition of a volume-based RB2, Stevenson is RB26 in FPG (13.0) this season. At the very least, the volume is safe. Stevenson has played at least 70% of the Patriots snaps in five out of his last 6 games. The Cardinals were just trampled for 172 yards and 2 TDs on the ground last week by Seahawks runners.
Marvin Harrison Jr. – It has been a disappointing rookie year for Harrison as the WR41 by FPG (11.7). This is a solid matchup to use him as a WR3, though. The Patriots play the third-most man coverage (39%), and Harrison has earned a team-high 30% of the Cardinals targets when facing man-to-man. By comparison, Harrison’s target share dips to 18.4% vs. zone coverages.
Stream ‘Em
Drake Maye – Across his seven full starts this season, Maye is averaging 18.7 fantasy points per game. For reference, this would make him QB9 by two-tenths of a point over Brock Purdy (18.5 FPG). Maye is a terrific scrambler, adding 41.6 rushing yards per start on the ground. The Cardinals have only faced two mobile QBs this season, and both Josh Allen (9/39/2) and Jayden Daniels (8/47/1) had great rushing days.
Hunter Henry – As always, Henry is on the board as a potential streaming option. He’s available in 57% of Yahoo! leagues. In seven starts with Maye under center, Henry leads the team in targets (47) for a 37/385/1 receiving result (11.6 PPR FPG – TE7). At least he’s consistently involved. Henry has earned at least 18% of the Patriots targets in five out of his last 6 games before the bye.
Sit ‘Em
Demario Douglas – Hasn’t finished higher than WR31 in PPR fantasy scoring in seven straight games.
Michael Wilson
Antonio Gibson
Kayshon Boutte and Kendrick Bourne
Stash ‘Em
Trey Benson
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Chargers (4:25p ET)
Must Start
Mike Evans – Off of the injury report. He’s tallied up 17/255/1 receiving (16.2 FPG) in his last three games since returning.
Start ‘Em
Ladd McConkey – Couldn’t play through an injured knee last week. The Chargers are +7% more pass-heavy than expected over their last three games with McConkey, and the extra pass volume is fueling a late-season breakout for the shifty rookie. In this span, he’s been targeted 27 times and tallied up 21/323/0 receiving (17.8 PPR FPG). If he’s healthy enough to go, then McConkey is among the best WR2 options on this slate. Tampa Bay allows 95.7 yards per game to opposing slot receivers (third-most).
Baker Mayfield – Has finished as a top-8 scoring QB in fantasy football in 8-of-10 games with Mike Evans. This is a tougher matchup against a stingy Chargers defense, but Mayfield remains a lower-end QB1, at worst. Over the last eight weeks, Los Angeles has held opposing passers to -4.4 schedule-adjusted passing FPG below average (third-fewest). When you face the Chargers, you had better be ready to see a bunch of two-deep safety coverage (59% 2-hi usage | third-most). Mayfield is absolutely crushing two-high safety coverages to the tune of 0.63 FP per dropback. Only Lamar Jackson (0.71 FP/DB vs. 2-hi) is better.
Justin Herbert – Playing through an ankle injury that he sustained last week. As long as Ladd McConkey is good to go, then I’m all right with Herbert as a lower-end QB1. This matchup and potential high-scoring affair is too good to pass up. Tampa Bay is allowing 16.8 passing fantasy points per game (fourth-most). Herbert is a Cover-3 assassin, ranking third-best in passer rating (114.0), fifth-best by completion rate over expectation (+9%), and eighth-best in FP/DB (0.50). Tampa Bay deploys Cover-3 on a league-high 46% of opponents’ dropbacks.
Rachaad White – Went off with the backfield largely to himself last week, piling up 109 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs. Backup Sean Tucker (19% snap rate) barely played, while Bucky Irving missed time with a back injury. With his teammate ailing, White should be in line for more work again. Tampa Bay’s backfield is the second-most productive (31.3 PPR FPG) in fantasy football behind only Detroit (35.4).
FLEX Plays
Bucky Irving – Fortunately, it seems like Irving’s back injury is nothing major in the long term. He suffered from tightness in-game that limited his mobility vs. Raiders, and he left early after 10 snaps. If he’s able to play, then he’s a FLEX option at worst.
Stream ‘Em
Stone Smartt – The Chargers’ only healthy TE remaining. Will Dissly (shoulder) is out. Hayden Hurst is on I.R. Smartt is a desperation streamer. This is a great matchup if you need to chase 3-4 targets attached to Herbert. The Buccaneers are allowing the fifth-most schedule adjusted FPG above average (+4.1) over the last eight weeks.
Sit ‘Em
Cade Otton – Since Mike Evans returned to the field three weeks ago, Otton has been relegated to a distant third option in this passing attack. Evans (25%) and Sterling Shepard (22%) lead the Bucs’ in target share, followed by Otton (15%). In fact, Otton’s target share has been held below 18% in 7-of-9 games with Evans. As a result, Otton has just 8 catches for 120 scoreless yards in his last three outings.
Gus Edwards and Kimani Vidal – Once again, this backfield is a full-blown situation to avoid. In two games in place of the injured JK Dobbins, this duo has split snaps down the middle with Edwards (48%) in the slight lead over Vidal (41%).
Quentin Johnston
Josh Palmer
Sterling Shepard – Questionable (foot).
Will Dissly – Out with a shoulder injury.
Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions (4:25p ET)
Must Start
Josh Allen – Accounted for a ridiculous six TDs (3 passing, 3 rushing), threw for 342 yards, and added 82 yards on the ground last week. Allen’s 51.9 FP explosion is the most fantasy points that any QB has scored in a single game all-time. The Bills effectively had to ditch their rushing attack down 31-14 to the Rams in the third quarter, but this game plan was just another extremely pass-heavy approach by Buffalo. If we exclude the Week 13 snow game, the Bills are +9.4% more pass-heavy than expected over their last six outings. That trails only Cincinnati (+10% PROE) as the most pass-heavy offense in the league. The Bills know that they have to throw to win in January. This will be the first time all season that Allen has Shakir, Cooper, Coleman, and Kincaid available.
Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery – This duo has combined for an unbelievable 24 TDs in 13 games this season. Dating back to last year, Montgomery has scored 27 TDs in 29 games (including playoffs) as a Lion. Gibbs is RB6 by FPG (18.3), while Montgomery isn’t too far behind as RB11 (16.6). Buffalo is very burnable on the ground. They allow the sixth-most scrimmage yards per game (147.5) to opposing running backs.
Amon-Ra St. Brown – You’re starting him no matter what, but the Lions target share has been a bit more spread out as of late with LaPorta getting more consistently involved. It has resulted in 16/178 receiving for St. Brown over the last three weeks. This is an amazing matchup for Sun God to put up 20+ PPR points again. The Bills are very tough against outside receivers, but they give up the fourth-most yards per game (91.8) to slot options.
Start ‘Em
Khalil Shakir – Since returning from a midseason ankle injury in Week 7, Shakir easily leads the Bills in targets (8.3 per game) for 45/486/1 receiving (14.3 PPR FPG – WR22). Detroit is playing much better defense against slot receivers as of late, but that’s not a reason to move off of Shakir as a WR2.
Jared Goff – QB13 in FPG (17.9), but that doesn’t tell the full story here. Goff has been a roller coaster for fantasy football this year. He has finished as a top-10 scoring QB in five games, but he has 7 outings where he’s finished outside of the top-18 entirely. Just like last week, I’m cautiously optimistic that we can use Goff in this likely shootout. This game total (54.5 over/under) is the highest of the 2024 season. Goff is crushing two-high safety coverages to the tune of a 118.3 passer rating (second-best), 8.0 YPA (third-best), and 0.61 fantasy points per dropback (fourth-best). The Bills deploy 2-hi safety coverages 54% of the time (fourth-most).
Sam LaPorta – At the very least, we’ve seen LaPorta’s usage begin to ramp up. He’s earned at least 17% of the Lions targets in five out of his last 6 games. As a result, LaPorta has rejoined the low-end TE1 radar. He has 22/221/4 receiving (11.4 PPR FPG – TE7) since Week 8.
FLEX Plays
James Cook – The Bills are leaning way more on their passing attack, which has resulted in lower volume for Cook. He is averaging just 12.5 carries per game over his last six outings. For reference, that would place Cook at 28th among RB in carries/game this season. This is a brutal matchup. Once again, the Lions are playing excellent run defense. Detroit has allowed just 2.9 YPC over the last five weeks.
Jameson Williams – As always, Williams is on the board as an upside FLEX. He’s WR39 by FPG (12.7). The Bills don’t get beat deep often, so Williams will need the consistent volume that he’s quietly been getting. Williams has earned at least 17% of the Lions targets in five straight games since returning from suspension.
Amari Cooper and Keon Coleman – Attached to Josh Allen and the second-most pass-heavy offense, both of the Bills wideouts are on the board as upside WR3/FLEX options for Week 15. Cooper came to life with 6/95 receiving (on 14 targets) last week. The rookie Coleman was breaking out in front of our eyes in Weeks 7-8 with 9/195/1 receiving before suffering a wrist injury, and missing the next four games as a result. Coleman returned to full practice on Wednesday.
Sit ‘Em
Dalton Kincaid – He missed his third straight game with a knee injury in Week 14. Kincaid returned to full practice on Wednesday, and he’ll return for Week 15. It has been a season to forget for Kincaid. He’s TE19 in PPR FPG (8.2), tied with Cole Kmet.
Tim Patrick
Stash ‘Em
Ray Davis
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos (4:25p ET)
Must Start
Courtland Sutton – Since his random Week 7 goose egg vs. New Orleans, when he didn’t get a single target, Sutton exploded over his last six games for 42/569/3 receiving (20.2 PPR FPG). Sutton has earned at least 8 targets in every game in this span, and easily leads the Broncos in first-read looks with a monster 32% share ahead of Devaughn Vele (16%).
Start ‘Em
Bo Nix – Turned a corner after Week 4 vs. Jets. Nix would be the front-runner for Rookie of the Year if not for Jayden Daniels. Over his last nine starts before their bye, Nix broke out with a 65.5% completion rate, 242.4 passing yards per game (7.4 YPA), and a 16:4 TD-to-INT ratio. The only quarterbacks that averaged more FPG than Nix (20.7) from Weeks 5-14 were the typical league-winners – Jackson (26.0), Allen (25.5), Burrow (24.9), and Hurts (24.1).
FLEX Plays
Jonathan Taylor – In his seven games with Richardson as the starter, Taylor has minimal passing down involvement (10 targets, 6/79/1 receiving). Yikes. It’s left him as more of a lower end RB2 that’s forced to rely on touchdowns. Taylor at least has 5 TDs in 7 starts with Richardson. The limited work as a receiver has held him to 15.7 expected PPR points per game (RB15) with Richardson under center. This is a brutal matchup as +4 road underdogs. Over the last eight weeks, the Broncos have held opposing running backs to a league-low 3.26 YPC.
Sit ‘Em
Anthony Richardson – Across his eight full starts, Richardson is the QB16 by FPG (16.9). It’s largely driven by his upside as a runner – Richardson has piled up 70/383/4 rushing this season, which is worth 7.6 FPG. The Colts QB has delivered a catchable pass on 55.2% of his attempts when he’s been blitzed this season, which is dead last by a considerable margin. Bryce Young’s 64% catchable throw rate vs. blitzes is second-worst, but 9% better than Richardson. Why is that important? Well, the Broncos definitely get an A+ for cool blitz looks. Denver sends extra rushers 33% of the time (fourth-most).
Josh Downs – After missing their last game before the bye in Week 13 with a shoulder injury, Downs should return here. In his four starts with Richardson at quarterback, Downs is averaging just 3.8 catchable targets per game (WR53). That’s not going to cut it. For reference, Downs was seeing 8.2 CTGT/G in five starts with Flacco. That’d be third-most behind Nabers (8.9) and Chase (8.23).
Michael Pittman – The bye week likely did Pittman some favors since he’s battled a back injury for most of the season. He’s about to see shadow coverage from Broncos CB Patrick Surtain. No, thank you. He’s averaging just 4.8 catchable targets per game (WR37) with Richardson.
Javonte Williams – The Broncos are 4-point home favorites against a weak Colts run defense, and Williams is completely unplayable in fantasy football. Jaleel McLaughlin (21/128 rushing) gave them a spark in their last two games before the bye. Javonte Williams literally went backwards with -1 yard on 12 carries. He did cash in a goal-line plunge for a TD.
Devaughn Vele
Alec Pierce
Marvin Mims
A.D. Mitchell
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p ET)
Must Start
Saquon Barkley – Since their bye week, the Eagles are the most run-heavy team in football by a landslide. Their pass rate is -9.3% below expectation since Week 6. Why would you want to throw the ball when Barkley is running so well behind this offensive line? Barkley is putting up 124.8 rushing yards per game, which is 14th-most all-time.
Jalen Hurts
Start ‘Em
A.J. Brown – Since Week 6, Brown is 37th among receivers in targets per game (6.3). Let this be a reminder of why volume is everything in fantasy football, and it’s why I focus so much of my time chasing it. In this span, Brown is WR21 in FPG (14.7). He’s capable of wrecking any matchup on just a handful of targets, but the Eagles’ run game is their identity.
FLEX Plays
Najee Harris – In his last eight games with Jaylen Warren, Harris leads this backfield in carries (141/607/5 rushing – 15.1 FPG | RB16) over Warren (73/305/1 rushing – 9.6 FPG | RB38). Most importantly, Harris has seen the majority of red-zone work with 17 carries inside-the-10 over their last eight games. Warren has just 5 totes inside-the-10 in this span. Harris projects as a FLEX option as +5.5 road underdogs against Philadelphia. The Eagles’ run defense has tightened up considerably as of late. Over the last eight weeks, they’ve given up just 3.42 YPC (third-fewest).
Stream ‘Em
Pat Freiermuth – Has come to life with 13/175/2 receiving (on 14 targets) over the last three weeks. George Pickens (hamstring) is likely out again, which will give Freiermuth a chance at increased targets. The Eagles are an impossible matchup for opposing receivers. They’re holding wideouts to a league-low -12.4 (!!) schedule-adjusted FPG below average over the last eight weeks, but they’re middle of the pack against TEs.
Sit ‘Em
DeVonta Smith – Since Week 6, Smith is the WR57 in targets per game (4.6). He made the most of his minimal volume in an ideal matchup last week with 4/37/1 receiving (on six targets). He’s a low-volume WR3 option against a Steelers defense that’s really good against slot receivers. Pittsburgh is holding opposing slot options to -2.7 schedule-adjusted FPG below average (fourth-fewest) and 1.49 yards per route run (third-fewest).
George Pickens – Set to miss another game (hamstring). Pickens pulled his hamstring badly in practice last week.
Russell Wilson – The Eagles are holding opposing quarterbacks to a league-low -3.3 schedule-adjusted passing FPG below average.
Jaylen Warren
Mike Williams
Calvin Austin
Grant Calcaterra
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (SNF)
Must Start
Josh Jacobs – After failing to score a TD in the opening month of the season, Jacobs has been busy piling up 12 touchdowns across his last nine starts. Jacobs has benefited greatly from injuries to their backfield depth, and it has propelled him to a rare bell-cow role in Green Bay. He’s played at least 76% of the snaps in three out of his last 4 games.
Zach Charbonnet – Exploded for 193 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs in his start last week. In three games without Ken Walker this season, Charbonnet’s role is one of the best in fantasy football. He’s handled 88% of the snaps (would rank RB1) and 74% of the carries (RB2) en route to 27.3 PPR FPG. That would make him the fantasy RB1 overall in a landslide. Ken Walker (calf) is still not practicing and needs to undergo further testing, per HC Mike Macdonald.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Since Week 8, the only wide receivers that are averaging more PPR fantasy points per game than JSN (20.5) are Ja’Marr Chase (29.9), Puka Nacua (22.7), and Jerry Jeudy (21.0).
Start ‘Em
Jordan Love – Excluding the Week 8 game where he left early due to injury, Love is averaging 19.2 fantasy points per start (QB8). He’s a lower-end QB1 starter again. Seattle’s secondary has tightened up considerably as of late. Over the last eight weeks, the Seahawks have held opposing passers to a league-low -3.7% completion rate under expectation and 6.7 YPA (fifth-fewest).
D.K. Metcalf – Since missing two games with a midseason knee injury, Metcalf has just 19 receptions for 244 scoreless yards on 29 targets over the last month. Metcalf is still the WR1 in Seattle by first-read target share (36%) over JSN (24%) in their last four games together. However, it’s fair to wonder if Metcalf is less than 100% healthy at this point. He’s a WR2.
Tucker Kraft – Over the last two weeks, Kraft has become more involved. He’s notched back-to-back season-highs in target share with 21% and 25% of the looks, and has tallied up 9/119/1 receiving. Seattle has ramped up their two-high safety coverage exponentially as of late. They’ve run 2-high safeties on at least 56% of their opponents dropbacks in four straight games. That will leave the middle of the field open for Kraft. Over his last 10 games with Jordan Love under center, Kraft has earned a target on 20% of his routes vs. two-high coverages (compared to 12% against single-high safety coverages).
Sit ‘Em
Ken Walker – Dealing with a calf injury.
Jayden Reed, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Dontayvion Wicks – After missing the last two games with a concussion, Doubs should return for Week 15. You’re on your own if you need to play a Packers WR here. In their last six games together, Doubs (10.9 FPG | WR42) is the top scoring fantasy WR, followed by Jayden Reed (9.5 FPG | WR49), and Watson (8.9 | WR50).
Tyler Lockett
Geno Smith – SuperFlex only.
Noah Fant
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (MNF | 8pm ET)
Must Start
Justin Jefferson – Seeking revenge after being held in check for 2/27 receiving vs. Chicago in Week 12. The Bears didn’t mess around in that meeting. They played zone coverage 85% of the time and used safety help on Jefferson. I’ll bet HC Kevin O’Connell has some answers this time around.
Aaron Jones – The Vikings are -7 home-favorites. Chicago’s run defense has crumbled as of late, allowing 140.7 rushing yards per game over the last eight weeks. That’s third-most. Jones put his fumbles behind him last week, and he had another highly efficient 85 scrimmage yards and a TD on 15 touches.
Start ‘Em
Sam Darnold – Has finished as a top-12 scorer among quarterbacks in fantasy in each of his last four outings. Darnold has just one turnover in this span, which has helped propel him to a higher floor. He had 13 turnovers in his 9 previous starts. He’s now QB7 by FPG (19.6). Darnold threw for 330 yards and 2 TD (34 attempts) in Chicago four weeks ago.
DJ Moore – Over the last month, Moore’s fantasy season has come to life. He leads the Bears in targets (38) by a hair over Keenan Allen (36) and Rome Odunze (30), turning his solid volume into 28/314/2 receiving (18.8 PPR FPG – WR5). Moore is getting so many designed screens – 4 per game – that it’s really boosting his floor. The Vikings are getting cleaned out for a league-high 128.2 yards per game by opposing outside wide receivers.
Jordan Addison – He has become way more consistently involved as of late with at least 19% of the targets in four straight games, culminating in last week’s 8/133/3 eruption. Addison has six or more targets in every game in this span after hitting that mark just once in seven contests between Weeks 1-10. Over their last six games together, Jefferson (27%) leads the way in first-read target share vs. zone coverage, followed closely by Addison (25%). Hockenson (16% FR vs. zone) is a distant secondary option.
FLEX Plays
Keenan Allen – The Bears inability to run the ball should lead them to passing a ton here. Allen tallied up 9/86/1 receiving in this matchup in Week 12.
Sit ‘Em
D’Andre Swift – Questionable to play (groin). Swift returned to limited practice on Saturday. His season has screeched to a halt over the last three weeks as he’s battled through injury. Swift hasn’t scored a TD since Week 11 as he’s been held to 38/107 (2.8 YPC) vs. Vikings, Lions, and 49ers. Roschon Johnson (concussion) is set to miss another game, leaving only special-teamer Travis Homer available to spell Swift.
TJ Hockenson – Once again, I’m a bit lower on Hockenson than consensus. Since returning in Week 9, Hockenson is averaging 9.5 PPR FPG (TE14). He did crush the Bears for 7/114 receiving in Week 12, but I can’t imagine we’ll see Jefferson held in check again. I remain lower on Hockenson because his volume isn’t anything great. In their six games together, Hockenson is a distant third in target share (17% – TE13) behind Addison (21%) and Jefferson (23%). He ran a season-high 77% route involvement last week with Josh Oliver back.
Rome Oduzne
Caleb Williams – SuperFlex only. Vikings D/ST remains a strong play.
Cole Kmet
Atlanta Falcons at Las Vegas Raiders (MNF | 8:30pm ET)
Must Start
Bijan Robinson
Brock Bowers – The Michael Mayer nine target game from last week came out of nowhere. Bowers still ran a route on 85% of the pass plays, so let’s hope that was a one game aberration. Bowers is the fantasy TE2 (15.8 FPG) behind Kittle (16.7). Desmond Ridder has attempted 44 passes in his relief appearances, and he’s targeted Bowers seven times (5/66/1 receiving).
Start ‘Em
Drake London and Darnell Mooney – Despite their quarterbacks struggles, London (15.2 PPR FPG – WR15) and Mooney (14.1 FPG – WR22) are still among the best WR2 plays every week. The targets are just extremely concentrated around these two wideouts. In their 11 full games together, London is averaging 9.2 targets per game (WR6) while Mooney is seeing 7.1 T/G (WR29). London left early in Week 9 while Mooney left early in Week 11. The Raiders have been absolutely torched for 41.9 PPR FPG by enemy wideouts (second-most) since their Week 10 bye.
Jakobi Meyers – In eight starts without Davante Adams on the field, Meyers has turned his 74 targets into 52/591/1 receiving (14.9 PPR FPG – WR18). By targets per game (9.3), Meyers ranks WR5. He’ll need all of the volume that he can get with Ridder under center. Speaking of which, Ridder has targeted Meyers a team-high 12 times on his 44 attempts (27% target share), but for a mediocre 6/61 receiving result. The good news? This is an outstanding matchup. Atlanta allows a league-high +8.0 schedule adjusted FPG above average to opposing receivers.
Sit ‘Em
Sincere McCormick – It’s a trap! Yes, McCormick has given this dormant Raiders run game some life with 27/142 rushing over the last two weeks. He’s earned more work. However, Alexander Mattison is back after missing the last three games with an ankle injury. His return muddies up this low value backfield. This team has produced 15+ PPR FP from a RB just four times in 13 games.
Kirk Cousins – It’s over. Cousins crushed the Buccaneers for 8 TDs in two games, but he has a 9:14 TD-to-INT ratio in his other 11 starts this season. Yikes. If we’re looking for bright spots, the Falcons passing game gets a reprieve from EDGE Maxx Crosby’s disruption this week. He’s out with an ankle injury.
Kyle Pitts
Desmond Ridder – To the surprise of absolutely no one, Ridder has been the least accurate Raider QB this season by catchable throw rate (70.5%). It’s a low bar to cross, too. Gardner Minshew (72.9% catchable throws) and Aidan O’Connell (71.3%) haven’t been good. League average is 75%. This is an easy matchup, so hopefully Bowers and Meyers get free often. Ridder just needs to hit them.
Ray Ray McCloud
Stash ‘Em
Tyler Allgeier
